Dynamic Scenario Predictions of Peak Carbon Emissions in China’s Construction Industry

As the largest carbon emitter in world, China aims to reach its peak emissions goal by year 2030, while construction industry makes a significant contribution emissions, directly affecting country’s commitment meet target. The present paper investigates dynamic characteristics of released China’s under single- and multiple-scenario settings with altering economic growth rates, optimizing energy structures, adjusting industrial modifying emission policy factors. research results show that total generally steady increase from 2000 will 12,880.40 million tons (MT) 2030 scenario without any intervention. Indirect associated industries account for over 96% direct make minor total. Single comprehensive scenarios have positive effects on reducing emissions; it was also observed only structure III could sector value 2030. reductions as result single policies can be presented following order: structure, growth, factor, structure. All reduction multiple are superior scenarios. provide basis guidance policymakers adopt correct steps fulfill aim achieving projected date.